Dustin's Oil & Weather Trader Dashboard
AI scans 1,400+ markets daily for price mistakes, then trades them automatically. Think of it like a robot that finds $1 bills selling for 90 cents.
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Your Money — Wins, Losses & Fees
Realized = money you've actually made or lost on settled bets.
Unrealized = potential profit on bets still open. Fees = what Kalshi charges per trade.
Settlement Forecast — If NOAA Is Right
Projects what each position pays when markets settle (next morning via NWS Daily Climate Report).
Green = expected win. Red = expected loss.
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Trade Ideas — What the AI Wants to Bet On
Each row is a bet the AI thinks is worth making. Side = betting YES or NO.
Confidence = how sure the AI is (green = very sure). Strategy shows how it found the opportunity.
| When | What | Bet | How Sure | Status | Strategy | Why |
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Radar — Price Anomalies Detected
The AI scans thousands of markets comparing prices across exchanges. When it spots a price that looks wrong, it shows up here.
Higher score = bigger price mistake found.
| When | How Found | Market | Edge Score |
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Oil (WTI) — Crude Oil Price Arbitrage
Compares real-time WTI crude futures price against Kalshi's oil price brackets.
Settles daily at 2:30 PM ET based on CME front-month settlement.
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AI Research — Perplexity Deep Analysis
Perplexity Sonar researches each market with real sources before Claude decides.
Data quality = how reliable the evidence is.
Edge assessment = does research confirm the price discrepancy is real?
| When | Market | Source | Data Quality | Est. Prob | Edge | Key Findings |
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Active Markets
All
NBA
MLB
NHL
NFL
NCAA
Soccer
MMA
Weather
Politics
Economics
Companies
Finance
How it works: Every 60 seconds, the AI compares prices on Kalshi vs Polymarket, checks NOAA weather forecasts, and hunts for arbitrage.
Perplexity Sonar deep-researches promising markets with verified sources every 5 minutes.
Claude evaluates each opportunity using both price data AND research evidence. Capped at $50/trade, $200/day max loss.